Should You Invest in Tesla Before Earnings This Week?
October 23, 2024
- Tesla is expected to report a revenue increase to $25.41 billion, despite a slight decline in profit projections.
- The recent robotaxi unveiling left investors seeking more details, contributing to uncertainty around Tesla’s growth strategy.
- Tesla’s long-term growth potential remains strong due to innovation leadership and the growing global demand for electric vehicles.
Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) is one of the most exciting and talked-about companies globally, leading the charge in electric vehicles (EVs), energy solutions, and groundbreaking technologies. But with its earnings report due this week, the big question is: Should you invest in Tesla before the results?
Here’s a breakdown of what you need to know about the risks and opportunities surrounding this highly anticipated earnings release.
The Big Picture: Tesla’s Earnings Expectations
Tesla is set to release its Q3 earnings this Wednesday after the bell, and investors are closely watching. According to estimates, Tesla is expected to post revenue of $25.41 billion, up from $23.35 billion in the same quarter last year. However, profits are projected to fall slightly, from $1.85 billion in Q3 2023 to $1.68 billion in Q3 2024. While delivery numbers surpassed estimates earlier this month, the market’s muted reaction suggests investors are seeking more substantial surprises.
Tesla’s latest events, including the much-publicized robotaxi unveiling, haven’t generated the enthusiasm expected. The lack of clear details on the timing and operational plans for the Cybercab and Robovan has left investors somewhat disappointed. Additionally, profit margins are under scrutiny, especially as Tesla continues to lower vehicle prices to stay competitive.
Key Risks to Consider
- Earnings Pressures: Despite growing revenue, Tesla’s profitability is expected to take a hit, as rising costs and increased competition put pressure on its margins.
- Delivery vs. Demand: While Tesla’s deliveries exceeded expectations, it wasn’t enough to spark a stock rally. Investors are worry that lower pricing strategies may impact long-term profitability.
- Robotaxi Uncertainty: Tesla’s robotaxi unveiling left many investors with more questions than answers. Investors are concerned about the lack of details regarding production timelines and legal challenges around autonomous driving, which could affect Tesla’s future earnings potential.
Opportunities for Investors
Despite the risks, Tesla remains a potential long-term growth story:
- Strong Revenue Growth: Tesla is still showing robust revenue growth, with its ability to deliver more vehicles than expected. The market forecast $25.41 billion in revenue this quarter, up from $23.35 billion last year.
- Innovation Leadership: Tesla’s consistent push for innovation, from its self-driving technology to new products like the Cybercab, keeps it ahead of the competition.
- Long-Term EV Demand: As more countries adopt stricter emission standards and electric vehicles grow in popularity, Tesla remains well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing global transition to EVs.
What Should Investors Do?
If you are considering Tesla as an investment ahead of earnings, here is a simple approach:
- Wait for Earnings Clarity: Given the mixed signals—higher revenues but lower profits—some investors may choose to wait for Tesla’s earnings release to get a clearer picture of its financial health.
- Diversify: Tesla is a high-risk, high-reward stock. It is essential to ensure that Tesla fits into a broader, diversified portfolio to mitigate potential downside.
- Watch for Post-Earnings Movements: Tesla’s stock could be volatile after the earnings release, particularly if the company provides any updates on production plans, profitability, or robotaxi development.
Exciting Growth Potential, but Mind the Risks
Tesla continues to lead in the EV market, but investing ahead of earnings comes with risks. Delays in delivering new products like the robotaxi, shrinking margins, and increasing competition are all factors to consider. If you are optimistic about Tesla’s long-term vision and can handle the risks, it could be a rewarding opportunity. As always, make sure Tesla fits into your overall investment strategy before making any moves.
Disclaimer: ProsperUs Head of Content & Investment Lead Billy Toh doesn’t own shares of any companies mentioned.
Billy Toh
Billy is deeply committed to making investment accessible and understandable to everyone, a principle that drives his engagement with the capital markets and his long-term investment strategies. He is currently the Head of Content & Investment Lead for Prosperus and a SGX Academy Trainer. His extensive experience spans roles as an economist at RHB Investment Bank, focusing on the Thailand and Philippines markets, and as a financial journalist at The Edge Malaysia. Additionally, his background includes valuable time spent in an asset management firm. Outside of finance, Billy enjoys meaningful conversations over coffee, keeps fit as a fitness enthusiast, and has a keen interest in technology.